Winning Prediction

Parma vs Hellas Verona

Serie A · 15 February 2026

Prediction: Bet: Hellas Verona - Total Team Fouls Over 12.5

Probability: 92%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: This is the most statistically robust trend in the dataset. Hellas Verona uses tactical fouling as their primary defensive transition mechanic. In the last 10 matches, they average 13.8 fouls per game. Crucially, Parma's midfield anchor, Mandela Keita, is a foul magnet, drawing 6, 4, 3, and 2 fouls in his last 4 starts. Verona's midfield duo (Bernede & Gagliardini) consistently register 3+ fouls each.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: H2H History: In the last 3 meetings, Verona committed 24, 16, and 11 fouls. Recent Form: Verona committed 15, 15, 13, 13, 14, and 22 fouls in 6 of their last 10 games.

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