Winning Prediction

Parma vs Torino

Serie A · 28 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Torino to Receive Over 1.5 Cards

Probability: 65%

Why

Why this bet: This pick is based on Torino's consistent disciplinary record, coupled with Parma's attacking style which often draws fouls. Torino commits a significant number of fouls per game, and their defensive struggles against attacking teams can lead to bookings as they attempt to halt opposition advances.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Torino (last 8 matches): Received 2, 3, 1, 1, 1, 1, 0, 3 yellow cards. This averages out to 1.625 cards per game, hitting the Over 1.5 line in 4 of 8 matches. Torino Fouls (last 8 matches): Committed 11, 13, 7, 14, 8, 15, 6, 17 fouls. The average is 11.375 fouls per game, indicating a physically engaged style of play. Parma's Foul-Drawing Ability: Parma has players like Adrián Bernabé (was fouled 1, 4, 2 times in recent games), Ange-Yoan Bonny (was fouled 2 times), and Pontus Almqvist (was fouled 2, 4 times) who are adept at drawing fouls in dangerous areas, including the final third. Head-to-Head (last 2 matches): Torino received 2 yellow cards in the 2-3 match against Parma.

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