Winning Prediction

Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés

LaLiga · 22 April 2026

Prediction: Real Madrid Total Match Shots Over 16.5

Probability: 70%

Why

"Volume vs. Permeability". Real Madrid operates a relentless high-volume shooting system at home, heavily supported by their massive `Final Third Entries` (frequently exceeding 70+). Alavés's defensive strategy involves absorbing pressure and allowing opponents to enter the final third, relying on blocks (`Blockedscoringattempt`) and clearances rather than suppressing shot attempts entirely in the midfield. This territorial dominance guarantees Real Madrid will comfortably clear this shot line, regardless of accuracy.

Supporting stats

Real Madrid's shot volume at home is elite, recently recording 22 shots (vs Girona), 18 shots (vs Getafe), and 17 shots (vs Atlético Madrid). In the H2H history, Real Madrid registered staggering totals of 22 shots and 13 shots in their recent home matches against Alavés's passive block.

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