Winning Prediction

Sassuolo vs Udinese

Serie A · 28 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Udinese to Commit Over 14.5 Fouls

Probability: 70%

Why

Why this bet: Udinese consistently demonstrates a highly aggressive defensive style, reflected in their high foul count across their recent matches. Facing a Sassuolo side that often attempts to control possession and draw fouls, especially in dangerous areas, Udinese's tendency to concede free-kicks is likely to persist.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Udinese's average fouls committed in their last 10 matches is 15.1, with individual match counts ranging from 10 to 22. In their head-to-head matches, Udinese committed 13 fouls (Udinese 2-3 Sassuolo) and 10 fouls (Sassuolo 1-1 Udinese). While these are slightly below their recent average, the overall trend of high fouls is strong, and Sassuolo's ability to draw fouls could push this number higher. Sassuolo's "fouled final third" statistic, often registering 1-4 per match, indicates their ability to draw fouls in areas that pressure the opposition.

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