Winning Prediction

Sevilla vs Atlético Madrid

LaLiga · 29 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 22.5

Probability: 68%

Why

H2H foul totals across the last 5 meetings average just 19.6 per match, with four of five fixtures producing ≤21 combined fouls, confirming this specific matchup suppresses foul accumulation despite both teams' individual season averages.

Supporting stats

H2H combined foul totals: 19, 26, 13, 21, 19 (4/5 ≤21 fouls); most recent H2H at Sevilla home produced only 7+12=19 combined fouls; Atlético's high possession (56–68% in H2H) reduces their need to foul and suppresses the overall total.

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