Winning Prediction

Sevilla vs Deportivo Alavés

LaLiga · 15 February 2026

Prediction: Bet: Over 26.5 Fouls (Alternative: Over 27.5)

Probability: 92%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: The data indicates a massive "Physicality Spike" in recent weeks for both sides. Alavés utilizes a 'Tactical Fouling' strategy to break transitions, while Sevilla's frustration in possession leads to reactionary fouls. The match overview data shows both teams are currently trending well above league averages for disruption.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Alavés Trend: In their last 3 matches, Alavés committed 20, 20, and 17 fouls. Sevilla Trend: In their last 3 matches, Sevilla committed 16, 16, and 16 fouls. Combined Average: The recent combined average is 35 fouls per game, providing a massive buffer over a standard 26.5 line.

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