Winning Prediction

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano

LaLiga · 8 March 2026

Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) - YES

Probability: 75%

Why

Both teams suffer from "Negative Goal Prevention." The goalkeepers for both sides consistently have negative "Goals Prevented" stats (e.g., Sevilla's keeper -1.21 vs Levante; Rayo's keeper -1.20 vs Celta), indicating they are conceding saveable shots. Sevilla creates high xG (2.07 vs Athletic) but leaks goals at the back, while Rayo's defense has conceded 3+ goals in multiple recent away trips.

Supporting stats

Defensive Failures: Sevilla has conceded in 100% of the last 5 home matches provided. Rayo has conceded in 4 of their last 5 away matches. H2H Trend: 3 of the last 5 H2H meetings ended with both teams scoring (1-1, 2-2, 1-2).

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