Winning Prediction

Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germain

Ligue 1 · 13 September 2026

Prediction: Stade Brestois vs Paris Saint-Germain — Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 66%

Why

PSG commit an average of only 6.5 fouls per match across their last 8 fixtures, and the H2H combined foul average of 20.0 across all 5 meetings sits below the line with 3 of 5 producing ≤20 total fouls.

Supporting stats

PSG recent fouls: 9, 10, 5, 4, 5, 3, 9, 7 (avg 6.5/match); H2H combined fouls: 17, 20, 22, 21, 20 (avg 20.0; 3/5 at or below 20.5); combined projected total Brest 12.5 + PSG 6.5 = ~19.0

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