Winning Prediction

Stade Brestois vs Toulouse

Ligue 1 · 29 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Over 22.5

Probability: 70%

Why

All 5 H2H meetings between these sides have produced combined fouls above 22.5, averaging 29.2 per match, and Toulouse's individual foul average of 13.5 per match combined with Brest's 11.0 produces a projected total of 24.5 — comfortably clearing the line.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls across last 5 meetings: 33, 28, 29, 24, 32 — 5 of 5 exceed 22.5; Toulouse committed 20 fouls vs Olympique Lyonnais, 17 vs Monaco, 15 vs RC Lens, and 15 vs Strasbourg in their last 10 outings.

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