Winning Prediction
Stade Rennais vs Olympique de Marseille
Ligue 1 · 11 September 2026
Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5
Probability: 78%
Why
All 5 of the last 5 H2H meetings produced ≥4 total cards, the single strongest predictor trigger in the system, and combined team foul averages of 23.9 per match breach the 22-per-match cards-trigger threshold.
Supporting stats
H2H combined card totals across last 5 meetings: 6, 4, 4, 6, 4 — 5/5 above 3.5; Rennais fouls avg last 10 = 12.4/match; OM fouls avg last 10 = 11.5/match (combined 23.9).
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