Winning Prediction

SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Bundesliga · 30 August 2025

Prediction: Bet: Over 2.5 Total Yellow Cards in the Match

Probability: 70%

Why

Why this bet: This pick is based on the underlying defensive characteristics and duel statistics of both teams. Both Bremen and Leverkusen exhibit low tackle success rates and engage in numerous duels, creating a fertile ground for fouls and subsequent bookings. Leverkusen's attacking players, in particular, are prone to being fouled due to their dribbling and high "Possession Lost" statistics.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: SV Werder Bremen (last 10 matches): Averaged 1.8 yellow cards per game (with multiple matches having 3 yellow cards). Their "wonTacklePercent" is consistently low (5-12%). Bayer 04 Leverkusen (last 10 matches): Averaged 1.7 yellow cards per game (with matches having 4 and 6 yellow cards). Their "wonTacklePercent" is also low (4-12%). Combined Average: The teams collectively average 3.5 yellow cards per game. Head-to-Head (last 4 matches): 3 out of 4 matches saw 3 or more yellow cards (total cards: 8, 4, 2, 3). Player Stats: Leverkusen players like Florian Wirtz and Jeremie Frimpong have high "Possession Lost" values, indicating they are often in situations where they can be fouled.

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