Winning Prediction

SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg

Bundesliga · 19 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 67%

Why

Both H2H meetings played at Bremen's ground produced combined foul totals of only 22 and 15 (average 18.5), well under the line, mirroring Bremen's extreme home possession dominance suppressing reactive fouling — a pattern that has produced Under fouls wins repeatedly in this system.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls at Bremen's ground: Bremen 8+Augsburg 14=22 and Bremen 11+Augsburg 4=15 (avg 18.5, both below 20.5); Augsburg fouls average across last 10 = 8.3/match; combined recent projected total of 10.7+8.3=19.0 per match sits comfortably below the line.

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