Winning Prediction

SV Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Bundesliga · 5 September 2026

Prediction: Total Match Fouls Under 20.5

Probability: 72%

Why

Both teams' individual recent foul averages combine for only 18.9 per match, and 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings produced a combined foul total under 20.5, with an H2H average of just 18.8.

Supporting stats

Bremen fouls last 10 avg = 9.5/match (lows of 3, 6, 7, 7); RBL fouls last 10 avg = 9.4/match (lows of 5, 6, 7, 7); H2H combined fouls across last 5 meetings: 12, 27, 19, 17, 19 — 4 of 5 under 20.5, avg 18.8

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