Winning Prediction
Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa
Premier League · 19 September 2026
Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa Total Match Cards Over 3.5
Probability: 70%
Why
Combined recent yellow card averages of 4.4 per match (Spurs 2.7 + Villa 1.7) already exceed the 3.5 line before any red card contribution, backed by a combined fouls average of 24.2 clearing the >22 cards-trigger threshold.
Supporting stats
Spurs yellow card avg last 10 = 2.7/match (peaks: 5, 4, 3, 3, 3); Aston Villa yellow card avg last 10 = 1.7/match (peaks: 3, 3, 3); combined projected 4.4 clears line without red card contribution.
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