Winning Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United

Premier League · 11 February 2026

Prediction: Bet: Total Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 75%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: Both teams are aggressive and prone to disciplinary issues when under pressure. The midfield battle (Guimarães vs Bissouma/Sarr) is physically intense. Recent form shows a spike in card accumulation for both sides in competitive fixtures.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Recent Discipline: Spurs received 5 Yellow Cards vs West Ham and 3 vs Man City. Newcastle received 3 vs Chelsea and 4 vs Sunderland. H2H Friction: The last 5 meetings produced card totals of 3, 5, 4, 4, and 8. The most recent high-stakes clashes have been volatile. Foul Counts: Spurs committed 15 fouls vs Man City; Newcastle committed 13 vs Chelsea.

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