Winning Prediction

Toulouse vs Le Havre

Ligue 1 · 19 September 2026

Prediction: Toulouse vs Le Havre Total Match Fouls Over 20.5

Probability: 70%

Why

The combined projected foul average of 30.3 per match exceeds the >24 structural trigger by a wide margin, and H2H combined fouls across the last five meetings average 24.6 with four of five fixtures producing ≥21 combined fouls.

Supporting stats

H2H combined fouls: 21, 24, 26, 23, 29 (avg 24.6; 4/5 ≥21); combined recent foul avg = 30.3/match (Toulouse 15.2 + Le Havre 15.1).

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