Winning Prediction

Toulouse vs Lille

Ligue 1 · 3 September 2026

Prediction: Draw or Lille (Double Chance X2)

Probability: 78%

Why

Lille have won 4 of the last 5 H2H meetings and dominate every decisive tactical metric against Toulouse — possession (63–70% in away H2H fixtures), touchesInOppBox (27–31 vs Toulouse's 9–15), and xG — satisfying the ≥3 simultaneous dominance conditions required.

Supporting stats

H2H record: Lille 4W-1L across last 5 meetings; Lille away possession in H2H fixtures: 63% and 68%; Toulouse bigChanceCreated in H2H home appearances: 1 and 2 vs Lille's 3.

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