Winning Prediction

Toulouse vs Nantes

Ligue 1 · 28 September 2025

Prediction: Bet: Total Cards Over 4.5

Probability: 80%

Why

Why this bet: This fixture has historically been a feisty affair, characterized by a significant number of fouls and subsequent cards. Both teams show a tendency to commit fouls in their recent matches. The tactical battle in midfield, combined with Toulouse's aggressive pressure and Nantes' defensive efforts, is highly likely to result in numerous stoppages and disciplinary actions.

Supporting stats

Supporting Stats: Toulouse (last 10 matches): Average 2.1 yellow cards per game, plus 2 red cards in 8 matches. Fouls average 10-17 per game. Nantes (last 10 matches): Average 1.6 yellow cards per game. Fouls average 5-16 per game. Head-to-Head (last 4 matches): Toulouse vs Nantes: 1Y (Toulouse), 3Y (Nantes) = 4 total. Nantes vs Toulouse: 2Y (Nantes), 3Y (Toulouse), 1R (Toulouse) = 5 total + 1 red. Nantes vs Toulouse: 2Y (Nantes), 2Y (Toulouse) = 4 total. Toulouse vs Nantes: 2Y (Toulouse), 1Y (Nantes) = 3 total. The average H2H yellow cards is 4 per game, with an additional red card in one instance, indicating a consistently high card count.

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