Winning Prediction

Udinese vs Sassuolo

Serie A · 15 February 2026

Prediction: Bet: Udinese Total Fouls Over 12.5

Probability: 88%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: Udinese plays a physical disruption game at home. They do not press high; they tackle hard in the middle third. With Sassuolo likely having >55% possession and dribblers like Laurienté (who draws ~3 fouls/game), Udinese will be forced to foul to stop transitions.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Home Foul Count (Last 5): 16 (vs Napoli), 19 (vs Lazio), 13 (vs Pisa), 17 (vs Inter), 18 (vs Roma). Consistency: They have cleared this line in 100% of their last 5 home fixtures.

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