Winning Prediction

Valencia vs Celta Vigo

LaLiga · 22 August 2026

Prediction: Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 70%

Why

Combined recent foul average exceeds the 22-per-match trigger threshold, and Celta accumulated 3 yellow cards in the last direct H2H at Mestalla while Valencia's disciplinary record elevates when possession is surrendered at home.

Supporting stats

Valencia avg fouls last 10 matches: ~11.9/game; Celta avg fouls last 10 matches: ~12.5/game (combined ~24.4, above the 22-trigger); H2H at Mestalla (Valencia vs Celta, most recent): Valencia 1 yellow, Celta 3 yellows = 4 total cards.

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