Winning Prediction

Valencia vs Mallorca

LaLiga · 21 December 2025

Prediction: Bet: Valencia Total Shots Over 12.5

Probability: 75%

Why

Tactical Reasoning: Despite their poor results, Valencia's offensive activity is high. They are "shooting to solve problems," often taking low-quality shots from outside the box when frustrated. Mallorca tends to sit deep away from home (42% possession vs Sevilla and Villarreal), inviting pressure and allowing shots from distance.

Supporting stats

Supporting Evidence: Valencia Shot Volume (Last 4 Home/Dominant games): 17, 16, 15, 14. Mallorca Conceded Shots: Allowed 20 shots vs Levante (a team with similar possession stats to Valencia) and 13 shots vs Oviedo. Game State: Valencia's poor form (LLLD) forces them to attack aggressively at home.

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