Winning Prediction

Venezia vs Fiorentina

Serie A · 11 September 2026

Prediction: Venezia vs Fiorentina Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 72%

Why

Combined team foul average of 26.0 per match (Venezia 14.0 + Fiorentina 12.0) clears the 22-per-match cards trigger, and the most recent direct H2H at Venezia produced 5 total cards (Venezia 1 + Fiorentina 4), with Fiorentina holding a dominant 66% possession in that meeting — a 32-percentage-point gap that structurally forces Venezia into reactive fouling and card accumulation.

Supporting stats

Combined recent foul avg = 26.0/match (trigger threshold: >22); H2H card total at Venezia = 5 (Venezia 1 + Fiorentina 4); Fiorentina H2H possession = 66% vs Venezia 34% (gap: 32pp)

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