Winning Prediction

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund

Bundesliga · 19 September 2026

Prediction: VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Total Match Cards Over 3.5

Probability: 76%

Why

H2H card history — the system's single strongest predictor — averages 5.2 total cards across the last 5 meetings, with 4 of 5 fixtures producing ≥4 cards including a 7-card and a 6-card meeting.

Supporting stats

H2H card totals: 4, 7(+1R), 2, 6, 6 (avg 5.2; 4/5 ≥4); combined recent yellow card avg 3.7/match (Stuttgart 1.7 + Dortmund 2.0); BVB accumulated 4 yellows alone in the most recent head-to-head at Stuttgart's ground.

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